Value Wagering

A Web Site Promoting Better Betting

Where’s the Value?

What races offer the most bang for one’s buck?

I’ve talked a lot in the past about the efficiency of markets — both financial and betting — and how, with more and more information now readily available to investors, it’s gotten even harder to turn a wagering profit.As proof of this, I recently broke down my Win Factor Report data by breed. I was interested to see whether harness racing, with less handicapping material published on the subject (or at least less material that has been widely circulated), offered better value than thoroughbred horse racing, which, of course, has been covered more often than Madonna… songs.

For those of you who are unfamiliar with my work, i.e. the overwhelming majority, my Win Factor Report is simply a computerized fair odds line that I use when I handicap. In addition to being very effective at isolating good betting races, it has also produced a positive ROI under certain circumstances.

But before we look at the wagering statistics for different breeds, let’s first examine the overall numbers for horses meeting the following criteria (from a variety of qualifying races run from Jan. 1, 2009 to July 30, 2010) …

To continue reading, click HERE.

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November 24, 2010 - Posted by | Horse Racing | , , , , , ,

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